The 2020 roster of Ferrari Driver Academy looks impressive, with 5 of 9 drivers having already reached Formula 2. But with very little room available at the highest step of the ladder, chances are that only a small fraction of them will reach it. Instead of making predictions on this matter, I will simply rank them using a few hugely flawed metrics and pick top 5 each time.
Simplified Super Licence Points
Following the method of a previous post, I count only the Super Licence points earned in F2 and FIA F3 in the past two seasons.
- Robert Shwartzman 50
- Marcus Armstrong 33
- Mick Schumacher 30
- Callum Ilott 15
- Giuliano Alesi 3
The rest have not yet reached the aforementioned series.
Number of races won
Not counting karting, of course. As the previous indicator, this one favors more experienced drivers; but the amount of experience is also a relevant thing to consider here.
- Mick Schumacher 29
- Marcus Armstrong 26
- Robert Shwartzman 16
- Callum Ilott 11
- Enzo Fittipaldi 10
Winning percentage
I expected this to favor the less experienced drivers, who spent more of their time in lower level series. But the list looks quite similar to the previous one.
- Mick Schumacher 16.4%
- Marcus Armstrong 15.8%
- Robert Shwartzman 9.7%
- Enzo Fittipaldi 9.1%
- (tie) Arthur Leclerc and Gianluca Petecof 7.5%
Number of podiums
These are the same 5 drivers as in the list based on the number of wins, but they are not in the same order.
- Marcus Armstrong 76
- Robert Shwartzman 63
- Mick Schumacher 51
- Enzo Fittipaldi 36
- Callum Ilott 32
Podium percentage
- Marcus Armstrong 46.1%
- Arthur Leclerc 40%
- Robert Shwartzman 38.2%
- Enzo Fittipaldi 32.7%
- Mick Schumacher 28.8%
Summary
Dino Beganovic, who is yet to make his single-seater debut, could not possibly appear in any of the above lists. Giuliano Alesi only appears as #5 on the Super Licence list. Overall, the top 3 are clearly Armstrong, Schumacher, and Shwartzman but at this point I cannot put them in any order other than alphabetical. If this is not a satisfactory conclusion, you can look at the Future Racing Stars ranking from Driver Database, which was also my source for most of the above statistics.